lots of specualtion and such but the dude is very intune to the day to day shit happening in the NFL......
I copy/pasted the first 20 and there is a link if you want to read more
Derrick Henry is also in an interesting spot, mostly if Tannehill gets traded, as that would signal a rebuild while Henry goes into the final year of his contract as a 29-year-old. The Titans would save $5.6M against the cap with a pre-June 1st trade or release, and $10.5M with a post-June 1st trade or release (the latter of which they could do before June 1st and designate for after). Any of these transactions would come with a waving white flag for the 2023 season but would be best for Tennessee's long term with the emerging Jaguars taking control of the AFC South. If he stays, Henry will have a $15.9M cap hit.
While we're here, the Titans offensive line is in a tough spot with RG Nate Davis hitting free agency and 32-year-old injured LT Taylor Lewan being a cut candidate ($14.8M cap savings with $0 in dead money). The entire offense looks rough in 2023. Malik Willis could also be one of the few Day 2 picks to not make the roster in year two.
If the Cowboys keep Zeke on his already-signed contract, he'll make $16.7M in 2023, which would be the highest RB cap hit in the NFL if Aaron Jones is released as expected. That wouldn't make sense to any non-Jerry Jones evaluator. So what are the other options? The Cowboys could restructure his non-guaranteed contract (read: paycut to stay on the team), release him for $4.8M in cap savings with $11.6M in dead money, or release him with a post-June 1 designation for $10.9M cap savings this offseason.
And while we're here, trading Davante Adams is very difficult to do. It'd cost the Raiders cap space to do it before June 1, and even afterwards, the Raiders would've essentially traded a 1st- and 2nd-round pick for the right to pay him $42.5M for one year, plus whatever they'd be getting for him back in a trade. In other words, this would be absolutely shocking even if Adams is mad when Carr gets moved.
Top 62 Offseason Moves That Would Change 2023 Fantasy Football Rankings | Underdog Network
The top 62 NFL offseason moves that would change 2023 fantasy football rankings with notes on NFL cap space, cut candidates, and trade candidates from Hayden Winks.
underdognetwork.com
I copy/pasted the first 20 and there is a link if you want to read more
1. Tom Brady Hits Free Agency
There's a chance he retires, but if he returns, it won't be in Tampa Bay most likely because of coaching woes and a very tight cap with an aging roster. Brady has signed cap-friendly deals, a trend that could continue if he's just looking for a storybook ending to his GOAT career. He has connections to the 49ers (hometown), Raiders (McDaniels), and Titans (Vrabel), all of whom could be in the QB market this offseason. I'll take one of those three teams vs. the field.2. 49ers Debate QBs, Jimmy Garoppolo Hits Free Agency
Brock Purdy played well enough in 2022 relief to be the 49ers' 2023 backup at the very worst, so unless the plan is to move Trey Lance this season (something that'd be hard given his injury and would add $1.7M against the cap), the 49ers plan could be what's already under contract. Re-signing Jimmy Garoppolo would be as expensive as ever (about $20M-$35M annually) after finishing top 5 in EPA per dropback in 2022 (hello Jets), and fitting Tom Brady under the cap could be an issue with Nick Bosa and other stars up for new deals. Most importantly, don't the 49ers have to see what they have in Lance after spending three 1st-round picks on him?3. Aaron Rodgers Is Traded
This is from OverTheCap's Jason Fitzgerald: "Rodgers does not have a no trade clause in his contract so he could be traded to a team as well. The timing of the option should give the Packers all the way until the end of training camp to move him. The cap charge here would depend on when he was traded. If Rodgers were to be traded prior to June 1st the Packers would take on a $40.3M cap hit in 2023. If he was traded after June 1st it would be a $15.8M cap hit in 2023 with $24.5M due in 2024. This assumes that the Packers did not exercise the option before the trade. If the option is exercised then the trade number spikes to nearly $100 million. There should be no need to exercise the option until the last possible day." In other words, Rodgers is tradable, especially after June 1st. Potential suitors include: Jets, Colts, Titans, Giants, Panthers, and basically half of the league. This would give Jordan Love a chance to start in the final year of his rookie contract.4. Aaron Jones Is Released
The 29-year-old has a $20.0M cap hit in 2023, a number that no longer exists at RB. If released, the Packers save $10.4M against the cap (with $9.2M in dead money) in an offseason that they could be swallowing a ton of dead cap if Rodgers is traded. Plus, Green Bay is backed up in cap space. Because Jones battled injuries in 2022 and A.J. Dillon is a fine starter, a Jones departure feels somewhat realistic.5. Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry Are Traded
With the Jaguars suddenly being the class of the division, the GM-less Titans are at a natural turning point with the organization. Trading (or releasing if they have to) Tannehill would save $17.8M against the cap with $18.8M in dead money (with potentially more 2023 cap savings if done post-June 1). Does coach Mike Vrabel make a run at personal friend Tom Brady or another veteran? Do they chase a rookie QB? Or does Tannehill go into the last year of his deal as a 35-year-old? A potential suitor for Tannehill is the Falcons in a Tannehill/Arthur Smith reunion.Derrick Henry is also in an interesting spot, mostly if Tannehill gets traded, as that would signal a rebuild while Henry goes into the final year of his contract as a 29-year-old. The Titans would save $5.6M against the cap with a pre-June 1st trade or release, and $10.5M with a post-June 1st trade or release (the latter of which they could do before June 1st and designate for after). Any of these transactions would come with a waving white flag for the 2023 season but would be best for Tennessee's long term with the emerging Jaguars taking control of the AFC South. If he stays, Henry will have a $15.9M cap hit.
While we're here, the Titans offensive line is in a tough spot with RG Nate Davis hitting free agency and 32-year-old injured LT Taylor Lewan being a cut candidate ($14.8M cap savings with $0 in dead money). The entire offense looks rough in 2023. Malik Willis could also be one of the few Day 2 picks to not make the roster in year two.
6. Cowboys Debate Tony Pollard vs. Ezekiel Elliott
Both RBs were top-12 fantasy RBs with Dak Prescott in one of the NFL's elite, balanced offenses, but cap constraints will make keeping both difficult. Pollard is a free agent, but the Cowboys can place the franchise tag on him for $10.1M in 2023, which would put him ahead of second-tier bellcows James Conner ($7.0M) and Leonard Fourntte ($7.0M) and behind first-tier bellcows in Aaron Jones ($12.0M), Joe Mixon ($12.0M), and Nick Chubb ($12.2M). In a vacuum, Pollard deserves to be in this $10M range, but the Cowboys already have Zeke on a somewhat movable contract...If the Cowboys keep Zeke on his already-signed contract, he'll make $16.7M in 2023, which would be the highest RB cap hit in the NFL if Aaron Jones is released as expected. That wouldn't make sense to any non-Jerry Jones evaluator. So what are the other options? The Cowboys could restructure his non-guaranteed contract (read: paycut to stay on the team), release him for $4.8M in cap savings with $11.6M in dead money, or release him with a post-June 1 designation for $10.9M cap savings this offseason.
7. Alvin Kamara Is Suspended (And Released?)
After pushing the court case (and thus the suspension) out of 2022, Kamara will likely face his suspension in 2023 for his battery charge. He could miss somewhere around 4 games, voiding the $1M guaranteed in 2023. On top of this, the Saints have a decision to make on Kamara's contract. Based on where the team is at cap/roster wise and the oddities around his 2022 season, I could see both the organization and Kamara wanting out, especially with Michael Thomas very likely released. To do so, the Saints would have to make Kamara their second and final post-June 1st release assigned before June 1st, find a trade partner after June 1st, or find a creative way to reduce his cap hit this year (see: Michael Thomas). In general, the Saints' odds of being without Kamara seem reasonable for Week 1 (suspension) and now potentially beyond (release or trade). A post-June 1st designation would save $10M against the cap with roughly $6M in dead money this year and roughly $6M the following year.8. Dalvin Cook Is Released
This is not a requirement by any means, but the Vikings are $6.6M over the cap entering the offseason and releasing Cook with a post-June 1 designation would save $11.0M this year with $6.2M dead money spread over the next two years. The 28-year-old wasn't as productive under a new head coach and analytics-based GM in 2022. Alexander Mattison is a free agent, so multiple moves would be required to address the position if Cook is out.9. Raiders Place Franchise Tag on Josh Jacobs
At cost, Jacobs was the 2022 fantasy football MVP, but he's a free agent in 2023 with the Raiders offense completely influx. The Raiders could apply the roughly $10.1M franchise tag on him (slightly less than Aaron Jones, Joe Mixon, and Dalvin Cook money) even if Jacobs wants out. We'll get this one settled early, and the tag makes the most sense on the Raiders' side. Second-year RB Zamir White will jump in ADP if things go unexpectedly sideways.10. Giants Place Franchise Tag On Saquon Barkley
The 26-year-old is a free agent, but Barkley is eligible for the franchise tag. The Giants and Barkley negotiated a new contract during the season (something they didn't do with tag candidate Daniel Jones), a signal that Barkley is the more likely franchise tag candidate. That would cost the Giants roughly $10.1M against the cap on a one-year deal, putting him in the Dalvin Cook, Joe Mixon, Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb, and Aaron Jones tier.
11. Giants Debate Re-Signing Daniel Jones
Jones is a free agent, but the Giants can first slap the roughly $31.5M franchise tag on him (Ryan Tannehill, Matt Ryan, Carson Wentz, or Jared Goff money) if they want to go one year at a time. The caveat is they only have one franchise tag per year and Saquon Barkley is also eligible (see above). If the tag is too rich for Jones (most likely), the Giants would have to compete with the open market for a likely sub-$31.5M contract. If they don't want Jones at all despite making the playoffs while playing his best football of his career with the worst weapons of his career (or if they get out-bid), the Giants have all of their 2023 NFL Draft picks plus a healthy cap situation to make a big move.12. Seahawks Have 3rd Pick, Geno Smith Is Tag Worthy
Seattle's QB decision will have massive NFL Draft implications. The first Geno Smith deadline will come with the roughly $31.5M franchise tag (Ryan Tannehill, Matt Ryan, Carson Wentz, or Jared Goff money), followed by the leverage deadline of unrestricted free agency. If they let Smith walk, the Seahawks would likely pivot to the rookie QB market via the Broncos' old pick.13. Jets Find A New QB, Zach Wilson Is Traded
Simply put, Wilson was benched too many times in year two to be on the roster in 2023. The Jets should be able to get a Day 3 pick or two for Wilson, after Josh Rosen and Sam Darnold types have been moved in recent years. With some obvious non-QB roster moves, the Jets will have over $50M in cap space to attract a veteran QB (Jimmy G reunion? Derek Carr or Ryan Tannehill trade?) for this win-now roster. Of course, this assumes that free agent Mike White isn't viewed as a long-term answer.14. Lions Debate Rookie QBs, Jared Goff Can Be Traded
The Lions will have a top-10 pick courtesy of the Rams, plus their own mid first-round pick. Do they like Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud, or Will Levis enough to make a splash? Are they available? Or did Jared Goff play up to the talent around him enough in 2022 to be kept on his $30.6M non-guaranteed contract? If he's traded (possible) or released (unlikely), the Lions would save $20.6M against the cap while eating his $10.0M in prorated bonuses. For reference, other QBs in the $30M/year range from last year were Ryan Tannehill, Carson Wentz, Matt Ryan, and Kirk Cousins.15. Derek Carr Is Traded
With no guaranteed money left, Carr is both a trade and cut candidate. Each move would save the Raiders $29.3M against the cap. After busting in 2022 and getting benched to prevent an injury guarantee hitting, can the Raiders run coach Josh McDaniels and Carr back together? Can the Raiders attract Tom Brady or Jimmy Garoppolo? Are they upgrades? Or does a team like the Jets send picks over? There are a lot of options here with more decisions looming surrounding Darren Waller (trade candidate) and Josh Jacobs (franchise tag candidate). For now, it seems more likely than not that he is gone.And while we're here, trading Davante Adams is very difficult to do. It'd cost the Raiders cap space to do it before June 1, and even afterwards, the Raiders would've essentially traded a 1st- and 2nd-round pick for the right to pay him $42.5M for one year, plus whatever they'd be getting for him back in a trade. In other words, this would be absolutely shocking even if Adams is mad when Carr gets moved.
